When Speaker Pelosi announced on Thursday morning that she was instructing Chairman Nadler’s committee to start drafting articles of impeachment, what she was really doing was admitting that Democrats would lose their House majority Next November. What I’ve been convinced of is that Republicans would retake the House barring a massive voter fraud effort by Democrats. Forget the 31 Democrats representing districts that Trump won in 2016. The majority of those districts will be flipped by Republicans next November. Depending on turnout and enthusiasm, it’s possible that the vast majority of those districts will get flipped by Republicans.
The next set of targets for flipping are seats where President Trump came close to winning but fell just a little short. MN-2 and MN-3 fit into that category perfectly, where Angie Craig and Dean Phillips currently hold the seats. Both are seats that Republicans have held literally for decades. It’ll take a bit of a fight but those seats should return to the GOP fold.
Thanks to the RNC’s fundraising haul, the GOP is hosting massive voter registration drives at Trump rallies across the nation. A significant number of those rallies aren’t hosted in districts that are GOP-friendly — yet. Depending on the national mood next fall, these districts might constitute the third set of districts targeted.
There’s no question that Pelosi wants to maintain her majority. She knows, though, that they’ve focused too much attention on impeachment and not nearly enough attention on fulfilling policy promises. There’s no getting rid of the Do-Nothing Democrats label. Resist Movement Democrats dug a hole with their my-way-or-the-highway attitude. That isn’t where the nation is.
If Democrats don’t get rid of that group of Democrats, which they really can’t, they’ll be the minority party for awhile. Pelosi fought the AOC wing. In the end, she had to cave to their pressure. Now, it’ll cost them their gavels.