Amber Athey’s article certainly is welcome news for President Trump and Kellyanne Conway. While the media is yapping endlessly about the difficult week President Trump has had, only Athey noticed that “A poll taken on April 22, 2018 had Trump’s approval rating among black men at 11 percent, while the same poll on April 29, 2018 pegged the approval rating at 22 percent. It should be noted that Reuters only sampled slightly under 200 black males each week and slightly under 3,000 people overall. Trump experienced a similar jump in approval among black people overall, spiking from 8.9 percent on April 22 to 16.5 percent on April 29.”
If President Trump’s poll numbers keep improving, Republicans’ chances of holding onto the House increase significantly. The Senate is another matter, since I’ve never thought that their majority was in danger this cycle. In fact, I think the national forecasters (Cook Political Report, Chuck Todd’s Top Ten List) are off by a significant amount with the Senate.
Salena Zito often reminds us just how often the pundits don’t understand today’s voters. Her upcoming book, which she outlines in this article, is essential reading for people trying to understand Trump voters and the political change that’s happening. First, let’s plug Salena’s book:
My new book, “The Great Revolt: Inside the Populist Coalition Reshaping American Politics” (Crown Forum), co-written by Brad Todd, is a road trip into the lives of Rust Belt voters who switched their states’ allegiances in the presidential elections from 2012 to 2016.
Next, let’s dig into Salena’s observations, starting with this:
WILKES-BARRE, Pa. — Ed Harry is sitting in the booth at the back end of D’s Diner in Plains Township, Luzerne County. Up front, the place is filled with customers at a chrome lunch counter as waitresses busily fill coffee cups, take orders and greet regulars with a familiar, “The usual?” For most of his life Harry (inset) has done two things: voted Democrat and lead union workers.
Later, Salena writes:
“My party, the party that was supposed to be the party of the working guy, the guy I stood up for and worked for all of my career, was no longer part of this new ascending Democratic coalition. Blue-collar America essentially had the door shut in its face,” Harry says.
A shift is happening and it isn’t just about Trump’s personality. Salena notes that “They aren’t asking why people in the Rust Belt counties who voted for former President Barack Obama twice suddenly switched to Trump. But they should. Because Trump was not the cause of this movement, he was the result of it. In order to fully appreciate his rise to the White House, you need focus on the people who put him there.”
The truth that nobody’s admitted yet is that President Trump is a great politician. He’s got something else going for him in that he’s doing his utmost to keep the promises he made on the campaign trail. President Trump promised to appoint conservative judges. Thus far, he’s kept that promise. President Trump promised to cut taxes and regulation. Thus far, he’s succeeded beyond Republicans’ wildest hopes. He failed on repealing Obamacare only because John McCain acted like a Democrat. That isn’t President Trump’s fault. That’s 100% Sen. McCain’s fault.
How badly are pundits misreading Trump voters? This bad:
GIRL GUN POWER
KENOSHA, Wis. — Amy Maurer is a very striking woman, her blond hair cut short in the kind of dramatic fashion you’d see in the pages of Vogue or on a Paris runway. Sitting in the conference room of TG3 Electronics, Chief Financial Officer Maurer (inset) is both in command and at ease, surrounded by the keyboards her company manufactures.
Maurer, 43, is the married, educated, suburban mom whom experts missed in the 2016 election — and still don’t get today. As a gun owner and strong defender of the Second Amendment, she based her vote entirely on the Supreme Court vacancy and who would fill it.
The Clinton campaign tried hard to win over voters like Maurer with ads highlighting Trump’s most misogynistic remarks, casting him as an unhinged troglodyte no self-respecting woman could support. “They believed, I think, that the social pressure from either friends or professional peers would be too much. That we would cave because of his behavior. Well, they misunderstood where the emphasis of our vote was. They thought, ‘Feminist, right? Successful, kids in the home, married, college-educated .?.?. Oh, they cannot vote for Trump, they just cannot.'” She smiles broadly. “They were wrong.”
Democrats are still in denial about Trump. They still can’t believe that he ‘stole’ the Democrats’ voters. The truth is, like President Trump’s rising support with African-Americans, people think that the Democratic Party left them rather than the other way around.
PS- That’s why their resistance movement will fail miserably.