"The random variable is us. If we are not motivated to get out and vote due to love for this great country, then the Democrats will win because their visceral hated for our President."
Here we go folks. This weekend, the state district conventions start, and during the first weekend of June, is the MN GOP state convention. It is now real time, go time. Right now, our gaze is on the home turf - the statewide elections. How important are they for this state? About as real as real can get. For if we muff this one, and have four to eight years of Tim Walz, Lori Swanson, Steve Simon and others - our trickle of wealth and seniors out of this state will become more of a flood.
But I am going to talk bigger picture. All eight Congressional seats in our state are up for election or re-election. Both Senate seats (a rare event) are up for election or re-election. President Trump is not. However - should the Republicans become typical Republicans, get lethargic, they could be down to one or two Congressional seats, and zero Senate seats.
Some might think, "Well, this is the midterms after all. History has shown the ruling party usually takes it in the shorts." Others might think everything is fixed, and we can't change it. The dreaded Blue Wave is not a myth, but a real tidal wave or tsunami. However, I am going to give a different take, based on what I heard on the news last night.
A nationally recognized poll pundit summed it up this way. If the election were held today, we would lose the House - and maybe the Senate. Why? The hatred the Left has for President Trump eclipses the love the Right has. It is as simple as that. If the Right had the same motivation they had in the 2016 election, they would add to their majorities. Heck, they might even have enough votes in the Senate to get stuff done for a change.
In November, should things not change, and we have near historic losses, it will not be because the Democrats have found the magic elixir for their message. It will not be because they have found candidates more attractive and charismatic than JFK. Nope. What will be the cause of it then? As was said in the rock opera Tommy - "Look in the mirror boy!"
That is the long and the short of it folks. What needs to be fixed on our side to win the midterms? Nothing. We can win if we want to. Our messaging is fine, our candidates solid. The random variable is us. If we are not motivated to get out and vote due to love for this great country, then the Democrats will win because their visceral hated for our President.