First, I’ll stipulate that there’s no such thing as a permanent majority. Next, though, I’ll state that Democrats have radicalized themselves so much that it’ll take a decade (or more) to become a viable national party. Right now, they’re a bicoastal minority party. That isn’t just my opinion. It’s 538.com’s opinion, too.
In his article, David Wasserman writes “Even if Democrats were to win every single 2018 House and Senate race for seats representing places that Hillary Clinton won or that Trump won by less than 3 percentage points — a pretty good midterm by historical standards — they could still fall short of the House majority and lose five Senate seats.”
Wasserman explains this phenomenon by saying “In the last few decades, Democrats have expanded their advantages in California and New York, states with huge urban centers that combined to give Clinton a 6 million vote edge, more than twice her national margin. But those two states elect only 4 percent of the Senate. Meanwhile, Republicans have made huge advances in small rural states, think Arkansas, North and South Dakota, Iowa, Louisiana, Montana and West Virginia, that wield disproportionate power in the upper chamber compared to their populations.
This is a better explanation for what’s happened during the weakening of the Democratic Party: the Democratic Party has spent far too much time courting environmental activists and too little time connecting with blue collar workers. Democrats focused so much time on Hispanics that they forgot that there’s a ton of blue collar voters in America’s heartland.
If Democrats don’t get their act together, they’ll quickly become the minority party for a generation. It’s that simple.